Thursday, October 29, 2026

Friday Night Signs: How Symbols Work in Fiction (and Under the Stadium Lights)

You are already an expert reader of symbols. You just do it so fast you don't notice.

Picture it. It's 7:05 on a Friday night in late October. You haven't even reached the bleachers and you're already reading. The stadium lights turn the grass a green it never is in daylight. The scoreboard says 12:00 and isn't moving yet. Somebody's grandmother has a cushion in school colors and a button with her grandson's photo pinned to her coat.

On the visitors' sideline, number 22 is favoring his left ankle during warm-ups. Every coach on the home side has noticed. The band starts playing "Seven Nation Army" by the White Stripes, and men who graduated thirty years ago stand up without deciding to.

Baseball (not football), but there are stadium lights here, too

Down on the track, the cheer squad hits a sharp high V, then touchdown arms, then a freeze. Nobody in the student section needs a translation. The crowd answers on cue.

None of this was written down for you. Nobody handed you a glossary. And yet you read all of it: colors, numbers, a limp, a song, a pair of raised arms. You know what each one means, and more than that, you feel what each one means.

That skill has a name, semiotics, the study of signs. It is the same skill that makes reading fiction so much fun. A good story is a stadium full of signs, and the writer is counting on you to read them the way you read a Friday night: quickly, emotionally, and then, if you're paying attention, a second time, slowly, to figure out why they hit you the way they did.

A Quick Playbook: Signs, Symbols, and What They Do to You

Three thinkers give us most of the vocabulary we need. Fun fact first: "semiotics" started out as a medical word. Greek doctors used the word for sign (semeion) to describe reading symptoms, a fever or a rash, to figure out what was going on inside the body. Reading signs has always been about getting from the visible to the hidden.

Ferdinand de Saussure (Swiss linguist, early 1900s) split a sign into two parts. The signifier is the sound, word, or image. The signified is the idea it points to. His big insight: the link between them is mostly arbitrary. Nothing about the word "tree" looks like a tree. Nothing about maroon and gold naturally means your school. A community agreed on it, and now it does.

Charles Sanders Peirce (American philosopher, same era; his name is pronounced "purse") sorted signs into three kinds by how they connect to what they stand for:

Peirce added one more piece, and it's the most important one for readers. He called it the interpretant: the effect a sign produces in the mind of whoever reads it. That retired number 34 hanging in the gym means "a good player from 1998" to a visitor. To the player's mother, it means a hospital waiting room, a scholarship letter, a phone call she still remembers word for word.

Same sign. Completely different interpretant.

That's the point to hold on to. A sign never lands in your head as just language. It arrives with images, memories, emotions, and sometimes a fight with yourself. Hear the fight song after a brutal loss and you might feel pride and embarrassment at once. Fiction writers know this, and they build with it.

One last tool. Philosophers J. L. Austin and John Searle pointed out that some words don't describe the world; they change it. When the referee signals "touchdown," he isn't reporting six points. His signal makes them real. Searle called these speech acts. Keep that in mind: in stories, signs don't only mean things. They make things happen.

Poe's "The Black Cat": A Narrator Who Reads Every Sign but His Own

It's Halloween season, so let's start in the dark. Edgar Allan Poe's "The Black Cat" (1843) is narrated by a man writing the night before his execution. He insists he isn't crazy. Readers have been doubting him for nearly two centuries.

The story is crowded with signs, and Poe stacks them carefully:

• The cat's name is Pluto, the Roman god of the underworld. The narrator's pet is named after the land of the dead before anything bad happens. That's foreshadowing wearing a collar.

• The superstition. The narrator's wife, he tells us, often mentioned the old belief that black cats are witches in disguise. He waves it off. Poe wants you to notice he waved it off.

• The image on the wall. After the narrator does something unforgivable to Pluto, his house burns down. One wall survives, and on it is the outline of a giant cat with a rope around its neck. An index, in Peirce's terms: a mark left by a real event.

• The second cat's white patch. A new cat shows up with a white splotch on its chest. Day by day, the narrator says, the splotch takes on a clearer shape: the gallows.

Here's what makes this story such good practice. The narrator is surrounded by signs and reads them obsessively, but he refuses the one obvious interpretation: you are guilty, and you know it. He blames alcohol. He blames what he calls the spirit of perverseness, the urge to do wrong just because it's wrong. He blames the cat.

The cat, in other words, works like a symbol of the conscience he keeps trying to bury. And when he finally tries to wall up the evidence of his worst crime, he can't resist bragging to the police and rapping his cane on the very bricks that hide it. A sound answers from inside the wall.

That's the interpretant at its most terrifying: a sign that keeps producing guilt no matter how hard the reader inside the story tries to shut it off. Poe is showing us a bad reader. Our job is to be better ones.

Welty's "A Worn Path": What Repetition Means

Now step out of the dark. Eudora Welty's "A Worn Path" (1941) follows Phoenix Jackson, a very old Black woman, walking alone through the Mississippi woods on a cold December day. She's headed to Natchez to pick up medicine for her grandson, who swallowed lye years earlier and still needs care.

The journey is hard. Thorns catch her dress. She crosses a creek on a log. She mistakes a scarecrow for a ghost, then dances with it. A hunter points his gun at her, and she quietly pockets a nickel he dropped. In town, she briefly forgets why she came, then remembers. She leaves with the medicine and one more nickel, and plans to buy her grandson a little paper windmill.

Three signs carry the story:

• Her name. The phoenix is the mythical bird that burns and rises again from its own ashes. Phoenix Jackson is ancient, frail, half-forgetful, and she rises anyway, again and again.

• The path itself. Look at the title. A path gets worn by repetition: the same trip, taken so many times that the ground remembers it. That's devotion turned into a mark on the earth. Another index, if you're keeping Peirce score.

• The paper windmill. A small, bright, spinning toy, bought with two nickels at Christmas. Something light and joyful at the end of a heavy journey.

Athletes, you know this symbol from the inside. Two-a-days. The same stunt run fifty times until your body knows it before your brain does. A worn path is what practice looks like when love is the reason for it.

Students once wrote to Welty asking whether the grandson was actually still alive. She answered in an essay that the question misses the point: the journey and Phoenix's devotion are what matter. That's a great lesson about symbols. Their meaning doesn't depend on solving every mystery in the plot.

Crane's "The Open Boat": Four Men, One Team

Stephen Crane's "The Open Boat" (1897) grew out of something that really happened to him. In January 1897 the steamer he was on, the Commodore, sank off the coast of Florida, and Crane spent more than a day in a small dinghy trying to reach shore.

In the story, four men share that boat: an injured captain, a cook, an oiler named Billie, and a correspondent (Crane's stand-in). Its opening line tells you how small their world has become: "None of them knew the color of the sky." All they can see are the waves in front of them.

This isn't a cheerful story. But it is, at its heart, a story about a team.

• The oars. The men row in shifts, trading places carefully so the boat won't flip. Nobody can row all night. Everybody has to take a turn. Crane says a quiet bond formed among them, something he calls "the subtle brotherhood of men." If you've ever been on a line, in a rotation, or in a stunt group where everyone has to trust the base, you know exactly what he means.

• The tower on shore. From the water, the men spot a tall wind-tower on the beach. Crane describes it as a giant with its back turned to them. It's a symbol of nature, or the universe, simply not caring whether they live. The ocean isn't evil. It's indifferent.

• The final word: interpreters. The story ends after the survivors reach the beach. Listening to the sea that night, they feel they can now be "interpreters." They can read what the sea means because they lived through it.

That last word is a gift to anyone studying semiotics. Crane is telling us that experience is what turns noise into meaning. The waves were always there. It took suffering, and each other, to make them readable.

Two Warmer Stories: Gifts and Second Chances

To balance the cold water and the black cat, here are two short stories where symbols lead somewhere hopeful.

O. Henry, "The Gift of the Magi" (1905). Della and Jim are young, broke, and in love. Each owns one treasure: her long, beautiful hair and his gold watch. On Christmas Eve, Della sells her hair to buy Jim a chain for his watch. Jim sells his watch to buy Della a set of combs for her hair. Each gift is now useless, and each one means everything.

The title is the key symbol. The Magi were the wise men who brought gifts to the infant Jesus. O. Henry's narrator ends by saying that these two foolish kids were, in fact, the wisest gift-givers of all. The hair and the watch stop being objects. They become a sign of what each person was willing to give up.

Langston Hughes, "Thank You, Ma'am" (1958). A teenage boy named Roger tries to snatch a large woman's purse late at night. It goes badly for him. Mrs. Luella Bates Washington Jones grabs him, drags him home, makes him wash his face, and feeds him dinner. He admits he wanted money for a pair of blue suede shoes.

Watch the signs Hughes plants:

• The blue suede shoes. Wanting, style, belonging: everything a kid thinks will make him somebody.

• The open door. She leaves the door open. Roger could run. He doesn't.

• The purse. She leaves it within reach. He could take it. Instead, he wants her to trust him.

She gives him ten dollars for the shoes and sends him off. At the door, he wants to say more than "thank you, ma'am" and can barely manage even that. A story about a stolen purse turns into a story about a gift, and an open door turns into a symbol of a second chance.

Why This Is Fun, and How to Write About It

The best symbols hold opposites

Look back at every story above. The black cat is a beloved pet and a living accusation. Phoenix Jackson is fragile and unstoppable. The sea in "The Open Boat" is indifferent, yet it creates the brotherhood that saves them. Della and Jim are foolish and wise at the same time.

There's an ancient symbol built entirely on that idea: the yin-yang (taijitu). Dark and light swirl around each other, and each half holds a small dot of the other. In Daoist thought, opposites aren't enemies. They depend on each other and keep turning into each other. Traditional Chinese Medicine reads the body the same way, looking for signs of balance or imbalance between yin and yang.

That's why symbols are so powerful in fiction. A plain sentence has to pick a side. A symbol can hold both, just like your own feelings about a season that ended in a heartbreaking playoff loss you're still proud of.

Writing about a symbol is like breaking down game film

There's no single "right" reading of a symbol, but there are better and worse ones. A good reading works like a good film breakdown: you make a call, then you show the tape.

Maybe you've seen the joke where a teacher says the blue curtains represent the character's sadness, and the author says the curtains were just blue. Fair! Not everything is a symbol. Here's how to tell, and how to argue it:

1. Look for patterns. Does the object repeat? Does it change? Pluto's replacement gets a gallows-shaped patch. Repetition plus change usually means the writer is signaling.

2. Check the high-value spots. Titles, names, first lines, last lines. Writers put their weight there, like the last play of a drive.

3. Watch what characters do with it. Roger doesn't take the purse. Actions around a symbol tell you what it means.

4. Make one clear claim. "The paper windmill shows that Phoenix's hard journey is driven by joy, not just duty." Arguable, specific, defensible.

5. Bring evidence, and admit what's uncertain. Quote the moments that support you. If something complicates your reading, say so. That makes you more believable, not less.

That's the fun part. You get to notice something, argue for it, and change how someone else sees the story.



Monday, October 26, 2026

Experiencing Traditional Chinese Medicine in Hangzhou

In the Zhejiang Province in China, I had the chance to visit a traditional Chinese Medicine pharmacy that was first established almost 200 years ago.  It was fascinating to see the roots, herbs, and teas. I even had a brief consultation with a doctor of traditional Chinese medicine! He explained to me that in Tradicional Chinese Medicine, the concept of yin and yang apply to the human body as well as to the universe in Daoism.  

Yin represents qualities such as coolness, moisture, rest, nourishment and structure. It is associated with the body's substance, including blood, fluids, and tissues. 

Yang represents warmth, dryness, activity, function, and movement.  It is linked to the body's energy, metabolic processes, and protective forces. 

The key is to keep them in harmonious balance.  According to the doctor I had a consultation with, who looked at my tongue, my coloration, my body's overall appearance, my voice, and also my pulse, I tend to have an excess of Yang, and need to slow down sometimes.  That seems very practical.  






Sunday, September 20, 2026

Conquering Data Chaos: Making Sure that AI Can Actually Work for You

Developing excellent workflows and crafting the perfect prompts to achieve the results you want are excellent ways to spend time. You’re training yourself to think about the outcomes and the correct sequence to follow to actually achieve the goal, and so the so-called “vibe coding” benefits tremendously from any programming languages that you know, no matter if it’s Visual Basic, C++, R, Python, or even old format-unfriendly coding languages such as Fortran. 

Podcast link: https://youtu.be/CYOhWZPyl1k?si=HLQN5m6MxAPpnSLd 

Platforms like Spotfire have made it easy to integrate the LLM so that you can manipulate geospatial layers and then layer in more complex tasks such as well planning, supply chain, construction staging, and more. 

The use cases can span vast subjects and domains, and the potential for successfully building complex processes that provide automation, process integration, and quality assurance is quite simply transformative. 

However, there’s a snag. 

That snag is data.

The second snag is the deployment of support functions that actually do things with your data.



It’s impossible to achieve the full potential of the AI models – whether generative AI with Large Language Models, small language models, and foundational models – or whether they are using amped-up neural networks in machine learning or predictive, in the case of deep learning (building in uncertainty and popularly incorporating Bayesian algorithms and stuff like Random Forest).  Why is it impossible – the answer is – and let’s go back to it 

DATA CHAOS. 

The big behind-the-scenes problem – the minotaur in the labyrinth ready to devour you just as you think you’ve successfully navigated the corridors, halls, and blind alleys – is the fact that if your data is not cleaned, organized, harmonized, and structured in ways that the algorithms and large language models can handle them, you’ll fail.   And, you could fail catastrophically. 

Data has to be conditioned, cleaned, harmonized, and made suitable for its uses.  There are companies that have specialized in such activities.  One that comes to mind is Petrabytes. Petrabytes surged into prominence a few years ago with a product debuted by Amazon and available in the AWS marketplace – mainly used in taming the data horrors of OSDU. 

Petrabytes developed a “smart ingestion” functionality that allowed for rapid ingestion of up to petabytes of data, with the ability to sort and assign the data so the data is perfectly conditioned for higher-level applications such as seismic interpretation.  I’m oversimplifying things, but I’m not exaggerating when I say that Petrabytes saved months of time and countless nervous breakdowns. 

APP MADNESS

Here’s where it really breaks down.  Agentic AI is great, except when the apps are deployed in the wrong order, or are actually better suited for other domains or subjects.  Further, how compatible are the apps?  Has anyone really checked?  And, in what sequence do you do the data QC and how many times?  Someone or something needs to be able to coordinate it – be the air traffic controller who uses technology but also big-picture domain insights. 

ENTER AMAZON QUICK

Amazon Quick has been around for a while as "Quick Suite," promising to be an integrator and accelerator. It could function that way, but the early iterations were complicated and the commercial model took some teasing out.

Quick Suite went live on October 9, 2025 as an evolution of QuickSight, and AWS shortened the name to Amazon Quick in 2026. It bundles six components — Quick Sight, Quick Flows, Quick Automate, Quick Index, Quick Research, and Apps in Quick — behind a single chat interface, with agents grounded in "spaces" that combine documents, dashboards, and connected data. It reaches internal repositories, wikis and intranets, AWS services like S3 and Redshift, and — through MCP — well over a thousand applications.  As of August 2026 the agentic capabilities are also available in AWS GovCloud under FedRAMP authorization, which matters for anyone working state data, federal minerals, or regulated environmental workflows.

Amazon QUICK

The interesting shift isn't the feature list. It's the posture. Quick doesn't ask you to finish cleaning before you start. It is built to go into the mess — on the working assumption that the more chaotic the pile, the more diamonds are buried in it. The integration is the product.

It sounds so easy that it frightens people who have thirty-five years of hard-won judgment and a suspicion that they are being told their expertise was the bottleneck.

It wasn't. But the expertise has to relocate.

EXAMPLE ONE: THE WAREHOUSE

Start with the most physical version of data chaos: a metal building full of banker's boxes. Paper logs, some scanned at 200 dpi in 2003 onto a server nobody maintains, some still on the original sepia. Handwritten annotations. Photocopies of photocopies.

This has always been treated as archival sentiment rather than an asset. By one recent estimate, roughly 60% of the world's producing wells have log data trapped behind raster scans that nobody has had the time, money, or patience to digitize by hand — and those aren't dead wells. They're producing, or adjacent to wells under reactivation review, or they hold the stratigraphic context for an infill decision being made this quarter.

What's changed is that vision-language models now read logs the way a petrophysicist reads them: holistically, header and tracks and curves together. A 2025 ADIPEC paper described a pipeline combining computer-vision segmentation to localize tracks, headers, and curve line styles with visual language models tuned to extract log names, units, curve limits, and depth scales — robust across varied log styles and low-quality or handwritten scans, and, deployed in the cloud, completing in minutes what used to take weeks, feeding straight into OSDU.

Now chain it:

1. Ingest and condition. Smart ingestion classifies documents, extracts metadata, resolves mnemonics, reconciles depth references, and flags what it can't resolve rather than guessing.

2. Normalize into the standard. LAS out, OSDU records in, lineage preserved, with the original raster still linked so a human can check the machine's reading against the sepia.

3. Quality-control the QC. A second agent audits the first — cross-checking digitized curves against offset wells, catching depth shifts and unit inversions. This is the loop most pilots skip.

4. Feed the big model. Once the curves exist as data, a seismic foundation model has well control. One such model, pretrained across 192 global surveys, showed robust transfer to downstream interpretation tasks including geobody segmentation under limited labeled data; the NCS-model published in March 2026 was trained on Norway's public data repository; and in August 2026 TGS was awarded a multi-year contract by an international oil company to deploy its Seismic Foundation Model — trained on TGS's global multi-client library — for structural and stratigraphic interpretation. Foundation models have moved from papers to purchase orders.

5. Interpret, then argue with it. The geoscientist reviews, disputes, and re-prompts.

The warehouse stops being a liability on a facilities budget and becomes training data with regional specificity nobody else has. That is the actual competitive asset in the room — not the model, which everyone can rent.

EXAMPLE TWO: THE ORCHESTRATED PROSPECT REVIEW

Second example, harder. You want a screening-level evaluation across a multi-county position: seismic volumes, several hundred wells of varying vintage, production histories, land and lease status, regulatory filings, and a set of economic thresholds.

Under the old model, this is a six-week effort across four people and five applications, with the integration done in PowerPoint at the end — which is to say, done in a medium that cannot be tested.

Under an orchestrated model, an agent framework runs it as a directed sequence: pull and condition, interpret structure and stratigraphy against the foundation model, tie to well control, populate the property model, push to simulation, run the economics against your thresholds, and return a ranked list with an uncertainty band and a full audit trail of which step touched which record.

The value isn't the speed, although the speed is startling. It's that the reasoning chain is inspectable. You can ask why prospect nine ranked above prospect two and get an answer that points at specific data rather than a recollection of a meeting.


And the failure mode is equally specific: if the orchestration is wrong — if economics runs on a property model built from an interpretation that never got well-tied — you get a ranked list that is precise, fast, fully auditable, and completely wrong. Nobody catches it, because it looks exactly like the right answer.

Which is why the controller has to be a geoscientist.

THE RELOCATION OF EXPERTISE

Here is the part that should encourage anyone worried about the Dark Ages accusation.

The 2026 GETI report found only about 45% of oil and gas professionals currently use AI in their work — a sharp rise, but still trailing other industries, while Deloitte's 2026 outlook puts AI and generative AI at under 20% of total IT spending among US oil and gas companies, projected to pass 50% by 2029. The spend is coming. The judgment is not.

What agentic systems cannot supply is the thing thirty years in a basin gives you: the instinct that a number is wrong before you can say why. The knowledge that a particular operator's 1981 logs always ran two feet shallow. The recognition that a beautiful automated fault interpretation is following a processing artifact.

Air traffic controllers don't fly the planes. They also don't get replaced by better planes.

And dreams

There's a reason the useful metaphor here is the labyrinth and not the assembly line.

The dream comes first. Someone has to imagine the workflow before anyone can build it — has to picture the warehouse emptied into a model, the six-week review compressed to an afternoon, the orphan well that turns out to be a storage asset. That imaginative act is not decoration on top of the engineering. It is the specification. Everything downstream — the ingestion, the harmonization, the sequencing, the QC loops — is just the discipline required to make the dream survive contact with the data.

Which is the real inversion in all of this. We used to think the data was the solid part and the vision was the soft part. It's the reverse. The data is a rumor until someone conditions it. The dream is the only thing in the building with structural integrity.

Feed the minotaur good data, and it turns out to be a very fast colleague.

Link to a video: https://youtu.be/CYOhWZPyl1k?si=HLQN5m6MxAPpnSLd





Monday, July 27, 2026

Energy and Economic Growth with Geothermal Energy for a Tropical Island

Let's look at how a new supply of inexpensive, readily available, dispatchable geothermal energy can become a powerful driver of economic growth on a volcanic island. At the center of the image is the volcano and geothermal plant, which symbolize the island’s ability to turn a local natural resource into a long-term source of development. Instead of relying heavily on imported fuel, the island is shown harnessing steam and hot water from below the earth to generate electricity and useful heat. The graphic emphasizes that this is not just about producing power, but about creating a foundation for productivity, resilience, and broader economic transformation. In macroeconomic terms, the image shows how expanding access to reliable energy can increase productive capacity and help shift an economy toward more sustained growth.


The execution of the graphic makes this idea concrete by showing multiple pathways through which geothermal energy supports the economy. Electricity from the plant is directed to the local grid, where it powers homes, schools, clinics, restaurants, and community buildings, improving everyday life and lowering energy costs. It also supports data centers and digital infrastructure, signaling that reliable energy can enable participation in more advanced sectors of the economy. This is especially important because dispatchable power is available when needed, unlike intermittent sources that depend on weather or time of day. The visual message is that dependable electricity creates the conditions for investment, innovation, education, and local enterprise to flourish.

The graphic also goes beyond electricity to show how geothermal resources can be used directly in practical and productive ways. Hot water can be used in homes, kitchens, showers, schools, and restaurants, reducing the cost of living and improving quality of life. Steam and heat can be used for food processing, drying plants, greenhouse agriculture, preservation, and light manufacturing, while heat exchange systems can provide efficient cooling for buildings and facilities.

These uses are important because they strengthen sectors other than tourism and highlight import substitution, local industry, and agricultural processing. Rather than presenting the island as dependent on visitors, the graphic presents it as an economy building internal strength through energy-intensive local production and the smarter use of local resources.
Finally, the graphic captures the human and cultural dimension of economic growth by showing local people as workers, students, farmers, cooks, technicians, and business participants. The message is that the benefits of geothermal development are meant to flow to the local population through jobs, skills, infrastructure, and shared prosperity.

The island’s culture is present not as a tourist attraction, but as the living community that gains from lower energy costs, more reliable services, and new economic opportunities. Overall, the graphic conveys that when an island can develop a dependable, low-cost energy base, it can reduce dependence on imports, raise productivity, support industry and agriculture, and create a more resilient and self-directed path to economic growth.

Friday, July 03, 2026

Opportunity Cost with Pickleball

Here is a common opportunity cost scenario: a student has the chance to join a serious competitive pickleball league, which would give her enjoyment, athletic development, friendship, and possibly recognition.

However, the league requires a major time commitment on the same evenings when she could be taking a college course needed for graduation or working paid hours as an administrative assistant at a skin care clinic. In economics, the cost of her choice is not just the league fee, equipment, or transportation. The real opportunity cost is the value of the next best alternative she gives up.

https://youtu.be/ADrAoH0dXM0?si=i-5G3tAi0HpKcM0M



If she chooses the pickleball league, she may lose progress toward graduation and reduce her work income. If she chooses the college course, she gives up the chance to compete more seriously in a sport she loves. If she works the clinic shifts, she earns money and gains job experience, but sacrifices both athletic opportunity and academic progress.

The decision requires her to compare benefits that are not all measured in dollars: time, future goals, income, health, enjoyment, friendships, and career preparation. This is why opportunity cost is central to economic decision-making: every choice uses limited resources, especially time.

Friday, June 26, 2026

Home School Moms and the Labor Force Participation Rate Conundrum

Let's take a look at a mother working at home while also homeschooling her two young children. One child is drawing polka-dotted cats, while the toddler holds a plush kitty, and the mother is surrounded by signs of both education and entrepreneurship: books, school materials, a laptop, branding notes, and web pages for a bookstore, coffee shop, and cattery.

Economically, the scene raises an important question: is she in the labor force? If she is earning income through a home-based web business, helping manage online retail, or developing web presence for small businesses, then she is participating in paid labor. At the same time, she is also doing unpaid work as a caregiver, teacher, household manager, and curriculum organizer.

https://youtu.be/gz5qHGL8XMQ


The graphic also reminds us that official labor statistics do not always capture the full value of women’s work, especially when that work takes place in the home. Homeschooling, childcare, emotional labor, scheduling, tutoring, and business development may all happen in the same room, sometimes at the same time, but only some of that activity may appear as measurable income.

The key takeaway is that women’s economic contributions can be difficult to measure when paid and unpaid labor overlap. In today’s web-based economy, however, flexibility, creativity, responsiveness, and digital skills allow many women to carve out a niche for themselves, combining caregiving responsibilities with entrepreneurial work that supports families, local businesses, and new forms of economic participation.

Sunday, June 21, 2026

Supply and Demand Shifts during a Zombie Apocalypse in a Beach Resort Town

Let's explore a macroeconomics scenario set during a zombie apocalypse in a beach resort town. The setting is a once-busy vacation destination, with beaches, miniature golf courses, pizza places, boardwalk attractions, and gelato shops now overrun by chaos.

The zombies are shuffling toward places where they can reliably find crowds of people — and therefore, in the logic of the scenario, “fresh brains to munch on.” This creates a vivid way to think about how consumer behavior changes during a crisis. Instead of focusing on leisure and tourism, people suddenly become much more interested in safety, escape, and survival. The imagery of panicked tourists, overwhelmed businesses, and zombies converging on popular attractions helps illustrate how an external shock can completely transform normal patterns of economic activity.

https://youtu.be/nNhjrWDVYJs 


The slide also shows how demand shifts during an emergency. In ordinary times, a beach town might see strong demand for pizza, mini golf, boardwalk treats, and other recreational services. But when zombies appear, demand surges for barriers, fencing, helmets, security services, and even experimental deterrents — such as blasting Bach and Mozart if people believe the music annoys zombies. 

This is a playful example of demand shifting to the right for goods and services associated with protection and survival. The slide uses the idea of “anti-zombie” strategies to make a serious economic point: when fear and risk rise, consumers reallocate spending toward whatever they think will help keep them safe. Even if some solutions are unconventional or unproven, people may still rush to buy them if they believe there is a chance they will work. 

 At the same time, the slide demonstrates supply problems and labor shortages. As much of the labor force flees the zombies, local businesses can no longer operate normally. Restaurants, resorts, mini golf businesses, shops, and boardwalk vendors may cut hours, reduce services, or close altogether. 

This is shown through the “supply shifts left” idea: fewer available workers means fewer goods and services can be provided. The result is a reduced supply of local services and rising prices for whatever remains available. This is why the slide includes “Help Wanted” signs — in a crisis, some employers may become desperate to hire anyone willing to stay, which can drive wages upward. In macroeconomic terms, the labor supply falls, and businesses must compete harder for scarce workers. 

 Overall, the slide is a creative illustration of supply and demand interacting under extreme conditions. Demand rises for protection-related goods, supply falls for normal local services, and labor shortages create additional disruptions across the economy. Prices increase in some areas, output falls in others, and the entire local market becomes unstable. 

The zombie-apocalypse theme makes the lesson memorable, but the underlying economics is very real: when a major shock changes people’s priorities and limits the ability of businesses to operate, both supply and demand can shift dramatically. The slide uses humor — from brain-hungry zombies to Bach-and-Mozart deterrents and emergency help-wanted signs — to show that macroeconomics helps explain how communities respond when normal life is suddenly turned upside down.

Thursday, June 18, 2026

Hoarding as a Hedge Against Inflation

Let's explore a serious macroeconomic idea: when people expect inflation, they often change their behavior in ways that go far beyond simply complaining about higher prices. Inflation reduces purchasing power, which means the same amount of money buys fewer goods and services over time. 

As a result, people start looking for ways to preserve value, avoid future price increases, or stock up on items they believe may become more expensive or harder to find. In the “Hoarder’s Guide to Hedging Against Inflation,” the two case studies — the Book Hoarder and the Collectibles Hoarder — show how inflation can shape not only markets, but also household decision-making, emotions, and everyday habits. 



 The first case study, the Book Hoarder, reflects the idea that people may respond to inflation by buying durable goods now rather than waiting until prices rise later. If someone believes that paper, printing, and shipping costs will continue to increase, then a used book that costs fifty cents today may feel like a bargain compared with what a similar book might cost in the future. The graphic imagines a full room lined with library-style shelves, packed with old textbooks, classics, and bargain-bin treasures, all collected under the logic that books could someday be rarer, more expensive, or even less available in physical form. From a macroeconomic perspective, this is a reactionary behavior tied to expectations: the person is responding today because of what they think prices and availability will look like tomorrow. 

 There is also a second layer to the Book Hoarder example: inflation does not just affect prices, it can also intensify concerns about scarcity and substitution. If more reading moves online, printed books may gain a kind of niche value, especially for people who prefer physical media or worry about losing access to material behind paywalls, subscriptions, or disappearing digital platforms. That is why the graphic works so well when it shows old textbooks, classics, and “under $1 finds” stacked everywhere like treasure. In real life, people really do behave this way — they fill basements with canning jars, buy extra printer ink, or grab discounted school supplies “for later.” The quirky difference here is that instead of stockpiling toilet paper or canned soup, the hoarder is stockpiling Dickens, chemistry textbooks, and random forgotten paperbacks because “good deals are forever.” 

 The second case study, the Collectibles Hoarder, focuses on a different but equally realistic inflation response: buying and holding nostalgic goods that may increase in value because of scarcity, memory, and collector demand. Here the graphic imagines toys and memorabilia from the 1990s and earlier — Barbie dolls, Pokémon collectibles, scout uniforms and pins, patches, lunchboxes, dolls, trading cards, and Tandy leather kits — as a kind of informal hedge. 

The logic is that inflation raises prices generally, but certain older items may rise even faster if they also become desirable collectibles. In economics, this is not a guaranteed investment strategy, but it does reflect how people often respond when they lose confidence in cash as a store of value: they start putting money into “stuff” they think other people will want later. What makes this second case especially memorable is that it captures how inflation can blend with psychology. Nostalgia can create demand in ways that are not purely rational or easy to predict. A box of old patches, a Camp Fire Girls uniform, or a slightly battered leathercraft kit may suddenly feel important because it connects to identity, childhood, or a vanished era. 

In real life, people hunt estate sales for old Pyrex, spend surprising amounts on first-edition Goosebumps, and argue online about whether unopened Barbie dolls should stay in the box forever. The graphic leans into that quirky behavior in a fun way: today’s clutter becomes tomorrow’s “valuable archive,” and ordinary collectibles become part economics lesson, part time capsule. Taken together, the two case studies show that inflation often changes behavior long before it changes every price tag in the same way. People react to expected inflation by stockpiling, substituting, bargain-hunting, and searching for stores of value outside of cash. 

Some responses are practical, some are emotional, and some are a little eccentric — but all of them reflect the same underlying macroeconomic reality: when people fear that money will buy less in the future, they try to act now. That is the key lesson of the graphic. Inflation does not just push prices upward; it also influences expectations, priorities, and the strange but very human behaviors that emerge when people decide that maybe the path to financial resilience runs through a wall of bookshelves and a closet full of 1990s memorabilia.

Saturday, June 06, 2026

Geological Intelligence Report

Iodine Brine Infrastructure
Monitoring Plan

Northwest Oklahoma · Woodward Trench · Morrow Formation · Anadarko Basin
Prepared: June 2026 3 Producers Tracked 5 Drilling Watch Zones Sources: USGS · OCC · Iofina · OGS

1. Geological Context

The Woodward Trench is a Lower Pennsylvanian (Morrowan) paleovalley running approximately 70 miles from southeast of Vici, Oklahoma to the Kansas border, oriented SW–NE. It is 1–2 miles wide and hosts the world's highest-concentration iodine brines in any commercially producible formation. The iodine's origin is traced to the Woodford Shale, which contains uranium-bearing organic material (Type II kerogen, brown algae, marine organisms). Fissogenic iodine-129 from 238U decay has been confirmed as a primary source.

Key mechanism: Processed brine effluent is reinjected into the Morrow formation downgradient from producing wells, creating a hydraulic displacement that continuously pushes iodine-rich brine toward production wells — sustaining yields over decades.
Formation Avg I₂ (ppm) Peak I₂ (ppm) Depth (ft) Permeability Commercial?
Mississippian limestone ~500 1,560 5,000–8,000 Low Limited
Morrow Sand (Pennsylvanian) 300–350 700 7,000–13,000 High Primary ✓
Mississippi Lime (N. OK) 80–150 200 4,000–7,000 Moderate Iofina SWD
Woodford Shale (source) — — 10,000–18,000 Very low Source only

2. Active Producer Profiles

Iofina Resources
AIM: IOF · Founded 2012 in OK
Active Plants8 IOsorb® plants
NW Oklahoma5 plants
Central Oklahoma3 plants
Brine capacity10k–100k+ bbl/day
H1 2025 growth↑ +11% YoY
StrategySWD-collocated
Iochem Corporation
Vici, OK · Founded 1987
Production wells16+ active
Injection wells6
Leasehold~25,000 acres
Brine I₂ conc.500–700 ppm
Well depth10,000–12,000 ft
StrategyDedicated brine wells
Woodward Iodine Corp.
Woodward, OK · Founded 1977 · ISE Chemicals (JP)
Producing wells10
CountiesWoodward + Harper
Capacity~800 t/year
Brine I₂ conc.300–500 ppm
Well depth7,000–13,000 ft
DistributorMitsubishi International

Woodward Iodine — Named Wells (OCC Records)

Well Name API Number County
GUTHRIE 153-227167-0-0000 Woodward
HARRISON 3-1 153-204359-0-0000 Woodward
IRWIN 24-1H 153-124973-0-0000 Woodward
MARTHA 153-226226-0-0000 Woodward
OLDHAM 1-22 153-224890-0-0000 Woodward
PEACH 1-24 153-125763-0-0000 Woodward
ROPER 153-226227-0-0000 Woodward
SHAW 153-226228-0-0000 Woodward
ELSON #1 059-086050-0-0000 Harper
W.I.F. WELL #13,14,15,18 059-053190-0-1788 Harper

3. Horizontal Drilling Watch Zones

New horizontal wells co-produce large volumes of formation brine routed to saltwater disposal (SWD) sites — exactly where Iofina's IOsorb® plants intercept iodine. Increasing horizontal activity therefore directly expands available brine supply.

County Activity Wells (Feb 2026) Relevance to Iodine
Woods County HIGH Very active 4,800+ Iofina NW core · SWD expansion zone
Major County MED Active 6,000+ Highest county well count; Mississippi Lime brine feed
Alfalfa County MED Active 4,000+ Iofina IO#1 & IO#5 original core (est. 2012)
Harper County EXPANDING Growing Active (181k MCF/mo) Near Woodward Iodine well leases; new brine intercepts possible
Woodward County STABLE Steady 3,900 Key reinjection zone; limited new horizontals

4. Brine Volume Growth Estimates

Iofina Resources — NW Oklahoma (IO#1–IO#5)

Scenario Brine Volume Growth Notes Projected I₂ Uplift
Base (current) 75,000–150,000 bbl/day combined 5 plants operating ~250–350 t/year NW OK
+1 new SWD partner +15,000–30,000 bbl/day New Hz driller in Woods/Alfalfa signs SWD deal +50–100 t/year
High (Hz boom) +30,000–60,000 bbl/day Multiple new Hz wells in 6-month window +100–150 t/year
IO#12 (projected) +50,000+ bbl/day NW OK or Permian Basin expansion +100–150 t/year

Iochem — Vici / Dewey County

Scenario Brine Volume Growth Notes Projected I₂ Uplift
Base (current) 5,000–15,000 bbl/day 16 dedicated wells; closed-loop system ~250–400 t/year
Infill wells (1–2) +2,000–5,000 bbl/day Within 25,000-acre leasehold +15–40 t/year
Acreage expansion +5,000–10,000 bbl/day New leasehold adjacent to Vici core +40–80 t/year
No new drilling Flat Mature system; reinjection sustains pressure Flat

Woodward Iodine Corp. — Woodward & Harper Counties

Scenario Brine Volume Growth Notes Projected I₂ Uplift
Base (current) 3,000–8,000 bbl/day 10 wells; fixed lease system ~200–300 t/year
Reactivation of idle wells +1,000–3,000 bbl/day Multiple numbered WIC wells in records suggest idle capacity +10–30 t/year
Harper County Hz diversion +5,000–15,000 bbl/day If Latigo or other operator routes SWD brine to WIC plant +40–100 t/year
No new permits Flat ISE Chemicals ownership; conservative capital discipline Flat

5. Monitoring Plan

Monthly Data Pulls

Data Source What to Monitor Alert Threshold
Oklahoma Corporation Commission (OCC) New drilling permits in Woodward, Dewey, Harper, Woods, Alfalfa counties Any Morrow/Mississippi Lime Hz permit within Woodward Trench corridor
OCC SWD Applications New saltwater disposal applications Any new SWD within 5 mi of existing Iofina plant footprint
Iofina RNS Announcements (AIM) New plant agreements, brine supply deals New plant announcement = brine growth signal
ShaleXP / OCC Production Data Monthly brine (produced water) volumes by operator >10% MoM increase in produced water in target counties

Proximity Scoring Model — Well-to-Plant Distance

For each new horizontal well permit, score by proximity to the nearest iodine extraction plant or SWD partner site:

10
0–2 miles from SWD/plant
High probability of new brine agreement within 12 months
6
2–5 miles
Moderate probability; likely routed to existing or new SWD
3
5–10 miles
Low-moderate; pipeline economics may limit viability
1
>10 miles
Monitor only; long-haul trucking or pipeline required

6. Producer Comparison Summary

Factor Iofina Resources Iochem Corp. Woodward Iodine
Founded (OK ops) 2012 1987 1977
Parent Iofina plc (AIM: IOF, UK) Japanese consortium ISE Chemicals (JP)
Active infrastructure 8 SWD-collocated plants 16+ dedicated brine wells 10 dedicated brine wells
Counties Alfalfa, Woods, Major, Central OK Dewey (Vici) Woodward, Harper
Avg brine ppm 100–350 (oilfield mix) 500–700 (core trench) 300–500
H1 2025 trajectory +11% YoY Not disclosed Not disclosed
Hz drill exposure HIGH (direct SWD link) LOW (dedicated system) MEDIUM (Harper exposure)
Monitoring priority Highest Moderate Moderate
Iodine Brine Infrastructure Monitoring Plan — NW Oklahoma

Sunday, April 26, 2026

The Verdant Syllogism

 The radio crackles with Carl Yastrzemski's latest at-bat as I push away from camp, my bicycle wheels crunching over pine needles that carpet the freshly raked gravel driveway. The commentator's voice from WHDH radio fades in and out—the reception this far north is temperamental at best.


Yaz, the Red Sox left fielder and the heart of the team since replacing Ted Williams in 1961, is having another solid season, though not quite matching his 1967 Triple Crown year. Dad isn't renting this place in northern Vermont where our entire family spends August; it's been in our family since the 1760s, with only a 35-year gap when his father lost it during the Great Depression. Dad bought it back himself after he'd become successful as a petroleum geologist, piecemeal, parcel by parcel, in consultation with Mom. They'd made the decision to acquire the land after numerous trips visiting relatives who still lived in Bloomfield, Vermont.



The two-story cabin they designed and had built—always called "camp" by everyone in the family—sits a mile down a gravel road from the highway. Despite having no electricity, they engineered an impressive setup: propane gas lamps with gas lines hidden in the walls, a gas-fired stove and oven, and running water from a spring up on the side of the tall hill nearby.



There's even a basement beneath the two floors. Dad loves to remind me of all this history, even as he spends more time traveling for work, searching for new oil and gas prospects and raising money for drilling ventures. Meanwhile, Mom finds refuge from her depression in the tiny library at Bethel Baptist Church back in Norman, Oklahoma, processing donated books when Dad is traveling.

 

Here in Vermont, she transforms—becoming an obsessive berry-picker, spending hours collecting raspberries and blueberries, her fingers stained purple-red. It's only when the migraines hit that she retreats to her room with Ben-Gay-soaked cloths wrapped around her throat, silence her only companion for days at a time. I note that this only happens when Dad is out of town.


I make the right turn from our cabin onto Smith Road, the wheels of my Schwinn Breeze crunching over the gravel Dad spent three weekends hauling in and shoveling into potholes and spring-melt channels. "Character building," he called it, as if I needed more character and not more friends. The mile-long road exists in its current state only because of his dogged maintenance—a labor of love he insists is "relaxing." The morning light filters through a canopy of white pine and spruce, casting dappled shadows that make the road look like it's covered in lace. Nothing like the open plains of Oklahoma, where the sun is an oppressive constant, beating down on endless stretches of wheat and prairie grass. Here, the light plays hide-and-seek.

 

Boethius wrote that evil is nothing because only that which preserves its place in the natural order retains its existence. I wonder, as I navigate around a pothole, whether my parents' marriage struggles because it strayed from its natural order—or if a psychological divide was always part of some cosmic syllogism I couldn't yet understand.

 

The radio station switches to "American Pie," Don McLean's voice unnaturally clear for a moment. The day the music died. I turn the dial, seeking something else—perhaps WBCN from Boston if the ionosphere is cooperative. I catch fragments of "School's Out" by Alice Cooper before static reclaims the airwaves.

 

As the road winds downward, I can see glimpses of our cabin's position—perched on a bluff overlooking Paul Stream, with the Connecticut River Valley and Sugarloaf Mountain visible in the distance. A view Dad calls "pastoral perfection" and which I find only reasonable if one has a view from on high.  If you’re in the shady pathways, narrow roads, and pathways, each twist in the road is a step back into multiple dimensions of time. Past the family cemetery where acid rain has erased the names of ancestors I'll never know, I continue riding. The cabins start appearing on my right as I approach the intersection with the highway. "Pair-o-Dice" with its faded red trim and weather-vaned roof. Next, "Loon's Call" with canoes upturned beside a ramshackle dock. Then "Pine Away" with smoke curling from its chimney despite the July heat. Each with its dock extending into the stream like hesitant fingers testing cool water.



 

In Plato's Phaedrus, Socrates speaks beside a stream under the shade of a plane tree. He describes the soul as a charioteer with two horses—one noble and one wicked. I feel those opposing forces within me as I pedal: one drawing me back to the safety of our cabin, one urging me forward to the lake where I might see him again.

 

The turn onto the highway brings a shift in landscape. The trees recede, allowing the sky to assert its dominance—a cerulean expanse interrupted by cumulus clouds that remind me of the Constable paintings in my art history book. The shoulder is narrow, and I hug the edge as cars occasionally pass, most with out-of-state plates. Tourists fleeing cities for Vermont's verdant embrace.

 

I consider Zhuangzi's butterfly dream as I watch a monarch flit across my path. Am I a girl dreaming I'm a butterfly, or a butterfly dreaming I'm a girl? In Oklahoma, I knew who I was—member of the swim team, honor student, pianist, a success geologist’s nerdy daughter. Here, I'm untethered from those identities, floating between definitions like the monarch.

 


The turnoff to Maidstone Lake Road appears, and I shift gears for the incline. My legs, strengthened by countless hours of butterfly strokes and freestyle sprints, respond without complaint. The radio catches a news segment—something about Nixon and China, then more static.

 

I think of Dante's letter to Can Grande, explaining the four levels of meaning in his Divine Comedy. The literal: a girl riding her bike to a lake. The allegorical: a journey from isolation toward connection. The moral: the struggle between responsibility and desire. The anagogical: the soul's journey toward something greater than itself. I wonder which level I'm currently living in.

 

The lake appears through the trees, a sapphire set in emerald. Maidstone Lake State Park welcomes me with its wooden sign and empty parking lot. It's early enough that the day-trippers haven't arrived yet. I chain my bike to a rack and follow the path to the beach, my radio now silent, out of respect for the moment.

 


The sand is cool beneath my feet, not yet warmed by the day's heat. The water stretches before me—dark blue in the center, shifting to aquamarine near the shore. Different from the red-clay waters of Lake Thunderbird back home. I scan the shoreline, pretending not to look for him—the boy from the cabin across the lake. The one with the Boston University t-shirt and the paperback copy of Herrigel's "Zen in the Art of Archery."

 

I set my towel on the sand and arrange my things—radio, water bottle, dog-eared copy of the Confucian Analects. "The noble-minded are calm and steady," Confucius wrote. I try to embody this as I remove my t-shirt to reveal my swimsuit underneath, acutely aware that he might appear at any moment.

 


The water accepts me without judgment, its cool embrace a benediction. I push off from the sandy bottom and begin my strokes, each one a meditation in movement. In Oklahoma, swimming was about competition—beating times, winning medals. Here, it becomes something else—a conversation between my body and the water, between the self I was and the self I might become.

 

I float on my back, gazing at the sky, and think about connection. Dad shoveling gravel and sand, filling up holes that will only wash out again next spring when the snow melts. Mom in the library of Bethel Baptist Church, encouraging someone to check out a pictorial history of the book of Joshua. My mind returns to imagining the boy across the lake whose name I don't yet know. I’m floating. I’m thinking. I’m experiencing. The fish beneath me, the clouds above, the trees surrounding. Confucius said that benevolence is found in connection, and wisdom in understanding one's place in the natural order.

 

I wonder if this is what Dad cherishes about this place—this sense of being simultaneously alone and connected to everything. He and Mom designed the cabin together years ago. He speaks of it with reverence, this sanctuary they built on land his ancestors cleared. For him, isolation is freedom. For me, it's a vast labyrinth of green and blue, beautiful but with twists and loops into time. A stranger in a strange land, yes, but perhaps that's the only position from which true observation is possible. The charioteer balanced between two opposing forces, seeing clearly for the first time.

 

The radio, when I return to shore, offers fragments of Carole King's "It's Too Late." I turn it off and sit on my towel, letting the sun dry my skin. Waiting, though I won't admit it to myself, for a boy who may or may not appear. Contemplating the dialectic between solitude and connection, between Oklahoma's horizontal expanse and Vermont's vertical reach, between childhood and whatever comes next.

 


The day stretches before me like the lake—full of depth and possibility. I open my book and begin to read, one eye on the path from the parking lot, wondering if today will be the day when strangeness gives way to belonging.



 For the full book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1945784199



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